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24 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.7%
Giannina
16.3%
Draw
72.0%
Levadeiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Giannina

vs
2.78

Levadeiakos

Markets

BTTS62.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-3
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
1-4
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
0-4
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
1-5
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).