Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Genoa
25.8%
Draw
34.3%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Genoa
vs
1.25
Bologna
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).