⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

06 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
64.3%
Sociedad
20.3%
Draw
15.5%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

Sociedad

vs
0.96

Levante

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).