Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Accrington
24.5%
Draw
21.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Accrington
vs
0.88
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).