Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
West Ham
21.1%
Draw
10.6%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
West Ham
vs
0.76
Southampton
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).