Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Ajaccio
19.2%
Draw
69.3%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Ajaccio
vs
1.93
Nice
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-2
14.6%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).