Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Crowborough Athletic
29.0%
Draw
35.4%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Crowborough Athletic
vs
1.14
Celta
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).