Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
West Ham
30.5%
Draw
37.9%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
West Ham
vs
1.32
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).