Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Santander
19.9%
Draw
29.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Santander
vs
1.71
Almeria
Markets
BTTS73.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).