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DHT: 11CSV

21 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
Mechelen
27.9%
Draw
25.4%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Mechelen

vs
1.00

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).