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AHT: 01

30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
Bury
26.4%
Draw
59.0%
Runcorn Linnets

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Bury

vs
1.43

Runcorn Linnets

Markets

BTTS31.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.1%
0-2
14.1%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-1
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
2-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).