Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Gorleston
14.9%
Draw
9.4%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Gorleston
vs
0.76
Man United
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).