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DHT: 11CSV

22 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Werder Bremen
23.1%
Draw
55.8%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Werder Bremen

vs
1.99

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).