Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Crotone
20.2%
Draw
54.0%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Crotone
vs
2.19
Torino
Markets
BTTS68.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
2-3
4.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).