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25 May 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Ipswich
25.5%
Draw
51.1%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Ipswich

vs
1.87

West Ham

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).