Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Freiburg
24.6%
Draw
24.8%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Freiburg
vs
1.20
Hertha
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).