Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
St Johnstone
30.9%
Draw
34.9%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
St Johnstone
vs
1.11
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).