Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Bari
29.3%
Draw
30.6%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Bari
vs
1.15
Mantova
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).