Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Coventry
25.9%
Draw
28.2%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Coventry
vs
0.95
Swindon
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).