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24 Nov 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
Mechelen
22.5%
Draw
19.1%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Mechelen

vs
1.02

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).