Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Krylya Sovetov
24.8%
Draw
47.9%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Krylya Sovetov
vs
1.88
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).