Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Palermo
21.0%
Draw
12.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Palermo
vs
0.86
Empoli
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).