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05 Dec 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.0%
Draw
4.6%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

2.40

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.42

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS31.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.2%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
5-0
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
2.3%
5-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).