Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Harrogate
26.9%
Draw
33.0%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Harrogate
vs
1.09
Newport County
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).