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HHT: 11CSV

29 Oct 2023 · 15:15

Pisa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Venezia
23.9%
Draw
17.8%
Pisa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Venezia

vs
0.98

Pisa

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).