Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.9%
Leeds
16.0%
Draw
6.1%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Leeds
vs
0.55
West Brom
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).