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03 Sept 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Ein Frankfurt
19.1%
Draw
53.4%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Ein Frankfurt

vs
2.64

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS79.5%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.5%
Over 2.583.2%
Over 3.566.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-3
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-4
3.9%
3-3
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).