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HHT: 20CSV

23 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Cheltenham
23.5%
Draw
45.0%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Cheltenham

vs
1.50

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).