Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Barnsley
15.5%
Draw
14.3%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Barnsley
vs
1.05
Accrington
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).