Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Belenenses
18.7%
Draw
75.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
Belenenses
vs
1.85
Porto
Markets
BTTS23.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.4%
0-2
19.4%
0-3
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-0
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-5
2.0%
1-4
1.8%
2-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).