Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Doncaster
29.1%
Draw
28.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Doncaster
vs
0.89
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).