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AHT: 02CSV

28 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Panionios
25.0%
Draw
51.6%
Levadeiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Panionios

vs
1.82

Levadeiakos

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).