Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Sheffield Weds
13.3%
Draw
81.2%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.75
Fulham
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.0%
0-3
11.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-4
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.1%
0-5
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).