Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Spezia
29.9%
Draw
28.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Spezia
vs
1.06
Ternana
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).