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DHT: 11CSV

07 Dec 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Braunschweig
28.7%
Draw
38.6%
Holstein Kiel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Braunschweig

vs
1.37

Holstein Kiel

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).