Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Deportivo Alavés
32.4%
Draw
33.1%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.94
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).