Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Krasnodar
14.5%
Draw
5.4%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Krasnodar
vs
0.60
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).