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07 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.1%
Altrincham
24.2%
Draw
16.6%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Altrincham

vs
0.88

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).