Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Livorno
30.2%
Draw
22.7%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Livorno
vs
0.87
Padova
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).