Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Dresden
27.5%
Draw
47.9%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Dresden
vs
1.57
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).