Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.0%
Valladolid
5.1%
Draw
92.9%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Valladolid
vs
4.16
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.595.2%
Over 2.585.6%
Over 3.570.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.4%
0-3
10.0%
0-5
8.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-4
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
1-5
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
3.4%
1-1
2.3%
2-4
2.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).