Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Cosenza
30.9%
Draw
41.4%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Cosenza
vs
1.27
Perugia
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).