Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Fulham
14.5%
Draw
7.0%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Fulham
vs
0.74
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).