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DHT: 01CSV

02 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Motherwell
30.1%
Draw
33.2%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Motherwell

vs
1.11

Rangers

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).