Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Notts County
24.5%
Draw
41.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Notts County
vs
1.45
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).