Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Le Havre
34.7%
Draw
22.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Le Havre
vs
0.55
Lens
Markets
BTTS24.0%
Over 0.577.4%
Over 1.541.5%
Over 2.517.8%
Over 3.55.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.6%
1-0
22.1%
0-1
13.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
4-0
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).