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20 Oct 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Genk
24.4%
Draw
39.4%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Genk

vs
1.62

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).