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12 Nov 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Forfar
30.4%
Draw
29.4%
Bonnyrigg Rose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Forfar

vs
1.20

Bonnyrigg Rose

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).