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AHT: 01CSV

30 May 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Albacete
25.0%
Draw
22.0%
Fuenlabrada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Albacete

vs
0.92

Fuenlabrada

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).