Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Tranmere
22.9%
Draw
25.9%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Tranmere
vs
1.15
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).